Interest rate cuts and trade certainty would further improve home sales: TRREB
July 9, 2025
Ownership housing affordability continued to improve in June, as average selling prices and borrowing costs remained lower than last year’s levels, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). However, despite some month-over-month momentum, many would-be homebuyers remained on the sidelines due to economic uncertainty.
Signs of recovery
“The GTA housing market continued to show signs of recovery in June,” says TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule. “With more listings available, buyers are taking advantage of increased choice and negotiating discounts off asking prices. Combined with lower borrowing costs compared to a year ago, homeownership is becoming a more attainable goal for many households in 2025.”
GTA realtors reported 6,243 home sales through TRREB’s MLS system in June 2025 – down by 2.4 per cent compared to June 2024. New listings amounted to 19,839 – up by 7.7 per cent year-over-year.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, June home sales increased month-over-month compared to May 2025. New listings declined compared to May. The monthly increase in sales coupled with the monthly decline in new listings continued the tightening trend experienced during the spring.
The MLS Home Price Index Composite benchmark was down by 5.5 per cent year-over- year in June 2025. The average selling price, at $1.10 million, was down by 5.4 per cent compared to June 2024. On a month-over-month seasonally adjusted basis, the MLS HPI Composite and average selling price both edged lower compared to May 2025.
Improving consumer confidence
“A firm trade deal with the United States, accompanied by an end to cross-border sabre rattling, would go a long way to alleviating a weakened economy and improving consumer confidence,” says TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer. “On top of this, two additional interest rate cuts would make monthly mortgage payments more comfortable for average GTA households. This could strengthen the momentum experienced over the last few months and provide some support for selling prices.”
“It is important to highlight that housing is not just impacted by economic and financial issues,” adds TRREB CEO John DiMichele. “Canadian residents, both homeowners and renters alike, are increasingly having to deal with the nightmare of violent home invasions and carjackings.
“TRREB is encouraged by the recent federal announcement to table a crime bill this fall introducing stricter bail conditions and sentencing for these disturbing crimes,” he says. “While this is a good first step by the federal government to strengthen public safety, more is needed, such as working with provinces to increase law enforcement funding and improve capacity and efficiency in the court system.”